

Tenant-favorable conditions will fall from 52% today to 33% by 2029



Global logistics rents 36% higher than in 2020 despite growth moderating in 2025



Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next

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<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Tenant-favorable conditions will fall from 52% today to 33% by 2029

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<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Global logistics rents 36% higher than in 2020 despite growth moderating in 2025

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<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next three years

</li>
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Cushman &amp; Wakefield&#39;s (CWK) analysis of 135 global logistics markets in its Waypoint 2026 report indicates that the proportion experiencing tenant‑favorable conditions is expected to fall from 52% in 2026 to 33% by 2029 as vacancy tightens and supply remains constrained. This shift in the balance of power will see 39% of markets experiencing landlord-favorable conditions in 2029, up from 26% in 2026.


Demand for higher‑quality, strategically located assets is being reinforced as businesses redesign their networks to reduce exposure to geopolitical, trade and climate disruption which are becoming structural factors, rather than episodic disruptors. Global logistics rents already sit 36% above 2020 levels and operating costs continue to rise, prompting occupiers to make strategic decisions to secure critical locations. Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next three years.


Report author Sally Bruer, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The next phase of the logistics cycle will be defined by preparedness. Businesses that embed resilience into their real estate strategies, through smarter use of technology, automation and energy‑secure assets, will be far better placed to navigate disruption and capture long‑term growth."


Beyond the global picture, there are significant differences between and within regions.


Americas facing the most abrupt shift towards landlords


Current tenant‑favorable conditions in 53% of markets are down sharply from 72% a year ago as vacancy has stabilized. By 2029, landlord‑favorable markets (17% today) are expected to rise to 46% - the most pronounced regional shift globally.


This transition is driving more decisive action from occupiers, particularly in major U.S. logistics hubs such as California's Inland Empire, Atlanta and Indianapolis where supply and demand are coming back into alignment. Nearshoring and manufacturing investment continue to support demand in Mexico, notably in markets such as Monterrey and Tijuana, reinforcing long‑term location strategies.


Elevated labor and energy costs are accelerating demand for more efficient, automation‑ready facilities, while stronger rental growth in Latin America, led by São Paulo [yoy 36%], reflects tightening availability and growing occupier demand, driven by e‑commerce and manufacturing demand.


Jason Tolliver, President, Americas Logistics &amp; Industrial Services, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The Americas are moving back to a landlord-led market faster than any other region. In the U.S., we are already seeing supply and demand rebalance, while nearshoring into Mexico continues to drive new demand. For occupiers, that means the cost of waiting is rising quickly, especially for well-located, high-quality space."


APAC: A story of divergence


APAC remains the most tenant‑favorable region globally, with 47% of markets currently favoring occupiers, although conditions vary sharply between locations as supply and demand diverge.


Supply‑constrained markets such as Australia, Japan and Singapore are experiencing increasing competition for space, with vacancy expected to decline as development pipelines remain limited. In contrast, more tenant‑friendly conditions persist in parts of India and on the Chinese mainland, where higher levels of new supply continue to provide occupiers with greater flexibility.


This divergence is reinforcing a market‑by‑market approach across the region. For landlords, aligning assets with high‑growth sectors such as e‑commerce, manufacturing, high‑tech and automotive, while ensuring buildings can support power demand and automation, is becoming increasingly important.


Dennis Yeo, Head of Investor Services and Logistics &amp; Industrial, Asia Pacific, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "Different markets across APAC are experiencing different stages of growth, fuelled by resilient occupier demand led by e-commerce and manufacturing. Supply constraints in markets such as Japan and Australia are driving competition, meanwhile continued availability in China and India is creating opportunity."


EMEA facing supply and energy constraint challenge


In EMEA, 54% of markets are currently tenant‑favorable, although this share is expected to fall to 39% by 2029 as vacancy stabilizes or declines and development pipelines remain restrained. The window of opportunity for occupiers is narrowing, particularly in core markets such as the UK, Germany and the Netherlands.


Across Western and Northern Europe, tightening vacancy in markets including the UK, Sweden, Belgium and the Netherlands is reinforcing the need for early decision‑making to secure high‑quality space. In Central and Eastern Europe, markets such as Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary continue to offer more varied conditions, although improving absorption is expected to gradually tighten availability.


Energy costs remain a key differentiator across the region. Elevated electricity prices in countries such as Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the UK are driving occupiers toward energy‑efficient buildings, schemes with access to renewable energy and locations with reliable power infrastructure.


Tim Crighton, Head of Logistics &amp; Industrial, EMEA, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The shift in EMEA's logistics landscape is less about speed and more about strategy. The right real estate is becoming harder to secure in key markets, and rising energy costs are making asset quality far more important. For occupiers, waiting is becoming a risk rather than a strategy and success will be predicated on aligning real estate strategies with long-term operational performance, flexibility and sustainability."


About Cushman &amp; Wakefield


Cushman &amp; Wakefield (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CWK">CWK</a>) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for occupiers and investors with approximately 53,000 employees in over 350 offices and nearly 60 countries. In 2025, the firm reported revenue of $10.3 billion across its core service lines of Services, Leasing, Capital markets, and Valuation and other. Built around the belief that Better never settles, the firm receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture. For additional information, visit <a xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" rel="nofollow" href="https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cushmanwakefield.com&amp;esheet=54542826&amp;newsitemid=20260528356287&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=www.cushmanwakefield.com&amp;index=1&amp;md5=9d553c321b89be90d50677c62ccddb73" shape="rect">www.cushmanwakefield.com</a>

<img xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" alt="" src="https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20260528356287r1&amp;sid=benz2&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en" style="width:0;height:0"></img>View source version on businesswire.com: <a xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260528356287/en/" rel="nofollow">https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260528356287/en/</a>
Lauren Joselyn 
 Associate Director, Communications
 +44(0)203 296 3034

Cushman & Wakefield Report: Tight Supply, Rising Costs And Structural Uncertainty Set To Shift Power Back to Landlords Across Global Logistics Markets

CWK Signals Major Logistics Market Shift, Likely Boost to Advisory Revenue

<section class="insight" data-version="1">
 <section data-block="information">
 <h3>Information</h3>
 Tenant-favorable conditions will fall from 52% today to 33% by 2029



Global logistics rents 36% higher than in 2020 despite growth moderating in 2025



Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next
 </section>

 <section data-block="ai-summary-paragraph">
 <h3>AI Summary</h3>
 Cushman &amp; Wakefield&#039;s Waypoint 2026 finds tenant-favorable logistics conditions narrowing to 33% by 2029 as vacancies tighten; landlord-friendly markets rise to 39%. Global rents are up 36% since 2020, with 54% of markets expecting rental growth over the next three years. The outlook supports higher demand for CWK&#039;s advisory, leasing, and valuation services amid a reshaped, more capital-light logistics landscape.
 </section>

 <section data-block="ai-summary-bullets">
 <h3>Key Points</h3>
 <ul><li>Waypoint 2026 analyzes 135 global logistics markets.</li><li>Tenant-favorable share falls to 33% by 2029; landlord-favorable rises to 39%.</li><li>Global logistics rents up 36% vs 2020; 54% markets expect growth over 3 years.</li><li>Americas shift to landlord-led market; nearshoring into Mexico supports demand.</li></ul>
 </section>

 <section data-block="companies-mentioned">
 <h3>Companies Mentioned</h3>
 <ul><li>Cushman &amp; Wakefield (CWK): Waypoint 2026 outlines rising landlord-favorable markets; supports CWK&#039;s services growth in leasing, advisory and valuation.</li><li>Prologis (PLD): Beneficiary of stronger logistics demand; potential client opportunities for CWK in portfolio optimization.</li><li>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL): Industry peer; market dynamics align with CWK&#039;s services, maintaining competitive context.</li><li>CBRE Group (CBRE): Competitor; expanding logistics activity may influence CWK&#039;s share of client engagements.</li></ul>
 </section>

 <section data-block="category">
 <h3>Industry News</h3>
 Industry News. The piece communicates a global logistics market outlook and regional shifts, highlighting demand drivers for CWK&#039;s services rather than CWK earnings specifics.
 </section>

 <section data-block="market-moving">
 <h3>Market-Moving</h3>
 <ul><li>Rising landlord-favorable share by 2029 supports CWK&#039;s leasing and valuation work.</li><li>Nearshoring and Mexico demand bolster CWK&#039;s cross-border advisory opportunities.</li><li>Energy costs and automation focus boost demand for high-quality, resilient assets.</li></ul>
 </section>

 <section data-block="key-facts">
 <h3>Key Facts</h3>
 <ul><li>Waypoint 2026 analyzes 135 global logistics markets.</li><li>Tenant-favorable share falls to 33% by 2029; landlord-favorable rises to 39%.</li><li>Global logistics rents are 36% above 2020; 54% of markets expect growth over 3 years.</li><li>Americas: 53% tenant-favorable now; 46% landlord-favorable by 2029.</li><li>APAC divergence: 47% occupier-favorable; Japan/Australia tight, India/China more flexible.</li></ul>
 </section>

 <section data-block="trading-thesis">
 <h3>Trading Thesis</h3>
 Bullish over the next 6–12 months as CWK benefits from rising landlord-favorable markets and higher advisory demand.
 </section>
</section>


<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" class="bwlistdisc">
<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Tenant-favorable conditions will fall from 52% today to 33% by 2029

</li>
<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Global logistics rents 36% higher than in 2020 despite growth moderating in 2025

</li>
<li xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next three years

</li>
</ul>
Cushman &amp; Wakefield&#39;s (CWK) analysis of 135 global logistics markets in its Waypoint 2026 report indicates that the proportion experiencing tenant‑favorable conditions is expected to fall from 52% in 2026 to 33% by 2029 as vacancy tightens and supply remains constrained. This shift in the balance of power will see 39% of markets experiencing landlord-favorable conditions in 2029, up from 26% in 2026.


Demand for higher‑quality, strategically located assets is being reinforced as businesses redesign their networks to reduce exposure to geopolitical, trade and climate disruption which are becoming structural factors, rather than episodic disruptors. Global logistics rents already sit 36% above 2020 levels and operating costs continue to rise, prompting occupiers to make strategic decisions to secure critical locations. Globally, 54% of markets expect rental growth over the next three years.


Report author Sally Bruer, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The next phase of the logistics cycle will be defined by preparedness. Businesses that embed resilience into their real estate strategies, through smarter use of technology, automation and energy‑secure assets, will be far better placed to navigate disruption and capture long‑term growth."


Beyond the global picture, there are significant differences between and within regions.


Americas facing the most abrupt shift towards landlords


Current tenant‑favorable conditions in 53% of markets are down sharply from 72% a year ago as vacancy has stabilized. By 2029, landlord‑favorable markets (17% today) are expected to rise to 46% - the most pronounced regional shift globally.


This transition is driving more decisive action from occupiers, particularly in major U.S. logistics hubs such as California's Inland Empire, Atlanta and Indianapolis where supply and demand are coming back into alignment. Nearshoring and manufacturing investment continue to support demand in Mexico, notably in markets such as Monterrey and Tijuana, reinforcing long‑term location strategies.


Elevated labor and energy costs are accelerating demand for more efficient, automation‑ready facilities, while stronger rental growth in Latin America, led by São Paulo [yoy 36%], reflects tightening availability and growing occupier demand, driven by e‑commerce and manufacturing demand.


Jason Tolliver, President, Americas Logistics &amp; Industrial Services, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The Americas are moving back to a landlord-led market faster than any other region. In the U.S., we are already seeing supply and demand rebalance, while nearshoring into Mexico continues to drive new demand. For occupiers, that means the cost of waiting is rising quickly, especially for well-located, high-quality space."


APAC: A story of divergence


APAC remains the most tenant‑favorable region globally, with 47% of markets currently favoring occupiers, although conditions vary sharply between locations as supply and demand diverge.


Supply‑constrained markets such as Australia, Japan and Singapore are experiencing increasing competition for space, with vacancy expected to decline as development pipelines remain limited. In contrast, more tenant‑friendly conditions persist in parts of India and on the Chinese mainland, where higher levels of new supply continue to provide occupiers with greater flexibility.


This divergence is reinforcing a market‑by‑market approach across the region. For landlords, aligning assets with high‑growth sectors such as e‑commerce, manufacturing, high‑tech and automotive, while ensuring buildings can support power demand and automation, is becoming increasingly important.


Dennis Yeo, Head of Investor Services and Logistics &amp; Industrial, Asia Pacific, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "Different markets across APAC are experiencing different stages of growth, fuelled by resilient occupier demand led by e-commerce and manufacturing. Supply constraints in markets such as Japan and Australia are driving competition, meanwhile continued availability in China and India is creating opportunity."


EMEA facing supply and energy constraint challenge


In EMEA, 54% of markets are currently tenant‑favorable, although this share is expected to fall to 39% by 2029 as vacancy stabilizes or declines and development pipelines remain restrained. The window of opportunity for occupiers is narrowing, particularly in core markets such as the UK, Germany and the Netherlands.


Across Western and Northern Europe, tightening vacancy in markets including the UK, Sweden, Belgium and the Netherlands is reinforcing the need for early decision‑making to secure high‑quality space. In Central and Eastern Europe, markets such as Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary continue to offer more varied conditions, although improving absorption is expected to gradually tighten availability.


Energy costs remain a key differentiator across the region. Elevated electricity prices in countries such as Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and the UK are driving occupiers toward energy‑efficient buildings, schemes with access to renewable energy and locations with reliable power infrastructure.


Tim Crighton, Head of Logistics &amp; Industrial, EMEA, Cushman &amp; Wakefield, said: "The shift in EMEA's logistics landscape is less about speed and more about strategy. The right real estate is becoming harder to secure in key markets, and rising energy costs are making asset quality far more important. For occupiers, waiting is becoming a risk rather than a strategy and success will be predicated on aligning real estate strategies with long-term operational performance, flexibility and sustainability."


About Cushman &amp; Wakefield


Cushman &amp; Wakefield (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CWK">CWK</a>) is a leading global commercial real estate services firm for occupiers and investors with approximately 53,000 employees in over 350 offices and nearly 60 countries. In 2025, the firm reported revenue of $10.3 billion across its core service lines of Services, Leasing, Capital markets, and Valuation and other. Built around the belief that Better never settles, the firm receives numerous industry and business accolades for its award-winning culture. For additional information, visit <a xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" rel="nofollow" href="https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=smartlink&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cushmanwakefield.com&amp;esheet=54542826&amp;newsitemid=20260528356287&amp;lan=en-US&amp;anchor=www.cushmanwakefield.com&amp;index=1&amp;md5=9d553c321b89be90d50677c62ccddb73" shape="rect">www.cushmanwakefield.com</a>

<img xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" alt="" src="https://cts.businesswire.com/ct/CT?id=bwnews&amp;sty=20260528356287r1&amp;sid=benz2&amp;distro=nx&amp;lang=en" style="width:0;height:0"></img>View source version on businesswire.com: <a xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260528356287/en/" rel="nofollow">https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260528356287/en/</a>
Lauren Joselyn 
 Associate Director, Communications
 +44(0)203 296 3034

Cushman & Wakefield's Waypoint 2026 finds tenant-favorable logistics conditions narrowing to 33% by 2029 as vacancies tighten; landlord-friendly markets rise to 39%. Global rents are up 36% since 2020, with 54% of markets expecting rental growth over the next three years. The outlook supports higher demand for CWK's advisory, leasing, and valuation services amid a reshaped, more capital-light logistics landscape.

Cushman & Wakefield Report: Tight Supply, Rising Costs And Structural Uncertainty Set To Shift Power Back to Landlords Across Global Logistics Markets

AI Summary

Sentiment Rationale

Trading Thesis

Market-Moving

Key Facts

Companies Mentioned

Industry News

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