CLAYTON, Mo., Jan. 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Olin Corporation (NYSE:OLN), today announced an updated outlook for the fourth quarter 2025. Olin now expects fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $67 million
Original sourceThe earnings drop directly highlights operational challenges that can affect investor sentiment and trust, significantly impacting short-term stock performance.
The significant downgrade in EBITDA outlook reflects severe operational disruptions, lowering investor confidence. Historical examples show similar situations often result in substantial share price declines.
The earnings drop directly highlights operational challenges that can affect investor sentiment and trust, significantly impacting short-term stock performance.
Immediate investor reactions to earnings estimates can impact stock price swiftly, evidenced by quick reactions post-releases. Operational issues further exacerbate this potential short-term volatility.
CLAYTON, Mo., Jan. 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Olin Corporation (NYSE:OLN), today announced an updated outlook for the fourth quarter 2025. Olin now expects fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $67 million compared to the previous outlook of $110 to $130 million. Most of the earnings shortfall occurred within the Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls business, reflecting an extended planned maintenance turnaround and unplanned downtime at our Freeport, Texas operations, as well as lower-than-expected pipeline chlorine demand.
Ken Lane, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, "Late in the quarter, our Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls was impacted by a meaningful decline in chlorine demand as well as operational issues at our Freeport, Texas site related to a planned turnaround and interruption of raw material supply by a third party. Our Freeport, Texas site has returned to normal operations. In spite of these challenges, the Olin Team remains focused on operating our assets safely, delivering on our cost reduction targets and maintaining our disciplined value-first commercial approach."
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
Olin Corporation is a leading vertically integrated global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and a leading U.S. manufacturer of ammunition. The chemical products produced include chlorine and caustic soda, vinyls, epoxies, chlorinated organics, bleach, hydrogen, and hydrochloric acid. Winchester's principal manufacturing facilities produce and distribute sporting ammunition, law enforcement ammunition, reloading components, small caliber military ammunition and components, industrial cartridges, and clay targets.
Visit www.olin.com for more information on Olin Corporation.
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
Olin's definition of Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net income (loss) plus an add-back for depreciation and amortization, interest expense (income), income tax expense (benefit), other expense (income), restructuring charges (income), and certain other non-recurring items. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors as a supplemental financial measure to assess financial performance without regard to financing methods, capital structures, taxes, or historical cost basis. The use of non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to replace any measures of performance determined in accordance with GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA presented may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies.
Reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are omitted from this release because Olin is unable to provide such reconciliations without the use of unreasonable efforts. This inability results from the inherent difficulty in forecasting generally and quantifying certain projected amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations. In particular, sufficient information is not available to calculate certain adjustments required for such reconciliations, including interest expense (income), income tax expense (benefit), other expense (income) and restructuring charges (income).
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This communication includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on management's beliefs, certain assumptions made by management, forecasts of future results, and current expectations, estimates and projections about the markets and economy in which we and our various segments operate. The statements contained in this communication that are not statements of historical fact may include forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties.
The updated fourth quarter 2025 outlook included in this press release is preliminary, unaudited and subject to completion, and may change as a result of management's continued review, is subject to the finalization of quarter-end financial and accounting procedure and represents management estimates that constitute forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties. We have used the words "anticipate," "intend," "may," "expect," "believe," "should," "plan," "outlook," "project," "estimate," "forecast," "optimistic," "target," and variations of such words and similar expressions in this communication to identify such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from those matters expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information or otherwise.
The risks, uncertainties and assumptions involved in our forward-looking statements, many of which are discussed in more detail in our filings with the SEC, including without limitation the "Risk Factors" section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other reports furnished or filed with the SEC, include, but are not limited to, the following:
Business, Industry and Operational Risks
Legal, Environmental and Regulatory Risks
All of our forward-looking statements should be considered in light of these factors. In addition, other risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we consider immaterial could affect the accuracy of our forward-looking statements.
2026-02
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SOURCE Olin Corporation