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U.S. Tungsten Supply Chain Tightens As A Nevada Past-Producer Mobilizes Drone Geophysics And Property-Wide Soil Geochemistry Toward Drill-Ready Targets

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Medium Materiality6/10

AI Summary

Western Star Resources mobilized its Rowland tungsten project for a 2026 field program featuring drone magnetic surveys and soil geochemistry to generate drill targets. The piece frames a Western-led supply tightening cycle driven by the Jan 1, 2027 DFARS cliff and CMETC tax incentives, signaling upside for Western-aligned producers like ALMTF through Sangdong and related capacity. If Rowland yields drill targets and higher tungsten prices persist, ALMTF stands to benefit from the broader Western supply rebound.

Sentiment Rationale

Tightening Western tungsten supply, rising prices, and policy incentives create a favorable backdrop for Western-aligned producers like ALMTF; Rowland exploration progress could validate drill targets and unlock near-term value, supporting multiple expansion in a tight market.

Trading Thesis

Bullish for ALMTF into 2026–2027 tungsten supply tightening and price support.

Market-Moving

  • AP Rotterdam tungsten price around $3,185/mtu in May 2026; up ~900% YoY.
  • DFARS cliff in Jan 2027; eight months away as of May 2026.
  • CMETC expansion: 30% tungsten exploration credit through Mar 31, 2027.
  • Rowland mobilization May 21, 2026; drone magnetics and soil geochemistry underway.

Key Facts

  • Western Star mobilizes Rowland tungsten project; aims for drill-ready targets in 2026.
  • DFARS cliff (Jan 1, 2027) and CMETC subsidies boost Western tungsten demand.
  • Almonty Industries Inc. (ALMTF) highlighted as Western-aligned tungsten leader via Sangdong.
  • Market setup favors Western supply; ALMTF could benefit from tighter Western tungsten pricing.

Companies Mentioned

  • Western Star Resources Inc. (WSR): Mobilizing to Rowland; near-term drill-target generation; peer in Western tungsten supply chain.
  • Almonty Industries Inc. (ALMTF): Cited as Western-aligned tungsten leader with Sangdong; potential beneficiary of supply tightening.
  • Guardian Metal Resources PLC (GMTLF): Pilot Mountain project; U.S. domestic tungsten exposure; reinforces Western supply pipeline.
  • EQ Resources Limited (EQRMF): Mt Carbine tungsten producer; adds to Western-aligned production landscape.
  • Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU): Vara Mada project and processing footprint; diversified critical-minerals exposure.
  • Almonty Industries Inc. (ALMTF): Primary focus of this report; see above for ALMTF-specific implications.

Industry News

Industry News: Highlights macro tungsten market dynamics, policy windows (DFARS/CMETC), and Western-aligned peers to frame ALMTF's potential positioning.

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