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Fed's concern over inflation and economic uncertainty often leads to market declines. Previous rate cuts in uncertain economies have led to prolonged sell-offs.
What happened, with direct paths to the underlying reporting
Fed cut rates, updating 2025 outlook up by 0.5%. Inflation return to 2% target is doubtful. Citigroup analyzes historical Fed pauses related to bond sell-offs. Three past pauses correlate with market declines. Small caps may outperform defensives if it's the last cut cycle. Broader equity outlook suggests mixed performance ahead. Market downturn hit S&P 500 to median path, indicating seasonal rally potential. Upcoming economic reports might influence market direction.
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