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Rising rate expectations and a stronger USD historically depress gold; easing geopolitical tensions reduce safe-haven demand, creating downside pressure on GLD with near-term weakness typical after such catalysts.
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The piece argues a faster path to a 4.25%-4.5% fed funds rate, along with a firmer dollar, undermines gold by making yields more attractive and reducing safe-haven demand. Easing geopolitical tensions further dampen demand for gold as a hedge, contributing to GLD’s roughly 1.5% pullback near $379.
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