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Strong earnings imply higher cash flow and potential supply discipline, supporting crude prices. Yet policy pressures to curb gasoline prices could cap gains and introduce near-term volatility, creating a mixed but generally positive tilt for Brent when earnings momentum aligns with macro risk sentiment.
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U.S. oil majors are poised to deliver their strongest quarterly profits in years, signaling robust cash flow as refining margins improve. The earnings backdrop collides with President Trump’s push to lower gasoline prices before November’s midterm elections, creating near-term political risk that could cap or churn Brent movements even as producers maintain discipline.
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