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A sustained rise in oil prices would likely improve Eni's upstream margins and cash flows, supporting higher valuation if the move proves durable; however, inflation and demand risks can offset some benefits, limiting near-term upside.
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Eni's Claudio Descalzi warns that global oil prices may exit the $80–$100 band by early 2027 if Middle East conflicts persist, setting up a long-term macro catalyst for energy equities. The forecast implies higher inflation and potential changes in energy demand, with possible upside for Eni through stronger crude realizations, though near-term impacts remain uncertain and geopolitical risk dominates.
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