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Carvana raises 2026 EBITDA guidance; Q2 results support growth runway

Jul 29, 2026, 4:32 PM EDT3 sourcesAI-analyzed
Why it may matterVerify against the original reporting

The stock delivered a sharp after-hours selloff (-20%) despite solid revenue and a strong H1 EBITDA run-rate, suggesting investors priced in the potential for slower near-term profitability or execution risk around the 2H guidance. Historically, Carvana has shown sensitivity to margin trajectory and unit growth vs. guidance, so the flat H2 outlook likely pressured near-term sentiment even as fundamentals remain solid.

AI summary

What happened, with direct paths to the underlying reporting

Carvana reported stronger-than-expected Q2 results with revenue of $7.38 billion and net income of $513 million, supporting a H1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion (Q2 $769 million). Management reaffirmed ambitious goals, targeting 3 million cars sold annually and a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030–2035, while guiding a flat second half. Despite the fundamentals, shares fell about 20% after hours on the guidance.

  • Q2 revenue $7.38B, above $6.91B estimate; net income $513M.
  • H1 adjusted EBITDA $1.4B; Q2 $769M, a record quarterly.
  • Guidance: 2026 EBITDA $2.7B–$3.0B; H2 expected flat vs H1.
  • Shares fell 20% after hours to $66.32.
  • Target: 3 million cars/year; 13.5% EBITDA margin by 2030–2035.

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