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Oil price relief reduces near-term inflation concerns and expectations for aggressive rate hikes, supporting bond prices and AGG; prior spikes in yields have retraced with the oil pullback, a pattern conducive to duration gains.
What happened, with direct paths to the underlying reporting
Oil prices faded after Trump canceled strikes on Iran, easing supply fears and spurring a broad market rally. Treasuries advanced as the 10-year yield slipped toward 4.68%, supporting duration assets like AGG. While OPEC+ announced a production rise, disruptions in the Gulf limit any price downside, keeping risk appetite tied to oil and inflation expectations.
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