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Treasury Twist could shift long-bond yields; Sept. 9 signal to watch

Aug 24, 2026, 7:41 AM EDT1 sourcesAI-analyzed

Why it may matterVerify against the original reporting

If the TGA-backed buys meaningfully reduce long-term yields, discount rates for equities could fall, supporting higher S&P 500 levels; however, effectiveness and debt-ceiling risk temper certainty, yielding a guarded but positive stance.

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The Treasury is considering using its near-$1 trillion General Account to fund expanded long-end bond buybacks, potentially lowering long-term yields if credible. The effort, dubbed the Treasury Twist, relies on financing via short-term bills. Markets remain skeptical on effectiveness; Sept. 9 auctions will be the first real signal of impact on yields and equities.

Treasury may deploy near-$1T TGA to fund larger long-end bond purchases. Could influence yields.
Treasury Twist: financing long-bond buybacks with short-term bills; market skepticism persists.
TGA size ~ $950B now; Biden administration target $550-600B in reserves.
First operation set for Sept. 9; impact signals unclear amid debt-ceiling uncertainty.

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