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Geopolitical risk from Iran supports higher crude prices; policy moves to expand refining capacity could mitigate supply constraints, sustaining Brent/BNO upside. Historically, supply shocks and policy responses in energy markets drive price rallies, though actual impact depends on execution and capacity gains.
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The White House is exploring using the Defense Production Act to expand U.S. oil refining capacity as Iran-related supply risks mount. A policy move could support domestic refining output and influence Brent prices, impacting BNO. The near-term impact hinges on whether the plan translates into real capacity gains and firmer global supply conditions.
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