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BBBearishEarningsnews
High materiality7/10

BlackBerry Q2 Beat but Soft Near-Term Outlook Keeps Valuation Capped

Sep 25, 2026, 1:18 PM EDT1 sourcesAI-analyzed
Why it may matterVerify against the original reporting

Soft Q3 guidance and near-term Secure Communications weakness weigh on sentiment despite Q2 upside; price fell ~6% intraday as targets were trimmed and valuation concerns persisted across analysts; historical pattern shows small-cap tech hardware/services names can re-rate modestly on single-quarter misses followed by gradual stabilization if key growth vectors materialize.

AI summary

What happened, with direct paths to the underlying reporting

BlackBerry delivered a stronger Q2 than expected, driven by QNX, with raised full-year guidance. However, near-term visibility is clouded by softer Secure Communications and a conservative Q3 outlook, sparking valuation concerns. The stock traded lower as Canaccord and RBC issued mixed views and price targets, underscoring a cautious path ahead despite the QNX momentum.

  • Canaccord lowers BlackBerry target to $9.50 while keeping Hold after Q2 results.
  • BB Q2 revenue $163.3M, +26% YoY; adjusted EPS 7c beat consensus.
  • QNX revenue $80.3M, +27%, record design wins including Alloy Kore with Coretura.
  • Secure Communications revenue guidance cut for FY27 to $260-270M; Q3 guiding $55-60M.
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised to $616-636M; adj. EBITDA $141-158M; valuation cited.

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