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Oil set to rally on U.S.-Iran tensions, likely pressure on the S&P 500

Oct 13, 2026, 11:56 AM EDT1 sourcesAI-analyzed

Why it may matterVerify against the original reporting

A sustained oil rally tends to weigh on broad equities due to higher energy costs, inflationary pressure, and potential multiple-expansion compression; history shows oil spikes often coincide with weaker SPX performance, especially if the rally accelerates amid geopolitical risk.

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Noted investor Paul Tudor Jones argues oil could rise further amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, with a potential $20-$25 jump and WTI near $113. He warns such an oil squeeze would weigh on equities, including the S&P 500, despite resilience earlier in the year. He also cites 2027 megacap IPOs as a supply headwind for stocks.

Paul Tudor Jones predicts oil will rally due to the U.S.-Iran conflict.
He expects a $20-$25 upside, lifting WTI above $113.
A rally could be painful for the S&P 500, Jones warns.
Megacap IPOs in 2027 may further pressure stocks, per view.

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