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A larger-than-expected global TAM in key emerging markets could expand Lilly's international revenue potential and support stock multiple, especially if adoption accelerates and reimbursement improves.
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J.P. Morgan estimates the combined China-India-Brazil weight-loss drug market could reach $22B by 2035 from $6.6B today, signaling a substantial international growth opportunity. If affordability and access improve, Lilly could see meaningful incremental sales from Mounjaro/Zepbound in these large emerging markets over the next several years.
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