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Analyst target cuts across peers, including AMD, suggest near-term multiple compression and increased scrutiny of AI capex financing risks; history shows sector-wide revisions can pressure stock prices even when revenue grows. Similar to prior cycles, valuation resets often precede a longer-term re-rating if demand and profitability align later.
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Melius keeps Nvidia Buy but cuts its target to $315 from $420, signaling a valuation reset amid AI financing backstops through 2028. The note also trims AMD's PC and smartphone estimates, citing weaker consumer demand and broader data-center valuation pressure. These dynamics suggest near-term multiple compression could weigh AMD more than peers in the AI buildout cycle.
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