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LCOBullishBCA Research oil price outlooknews

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Even with a durable ceasefire, these factors will support oil prices: BCA

Nov 13, 2026, 10:35 AM EST1 sourcesAI-analyzed

Why it may matterVerify against the original reporting

If inventories remain depleted and demand recovers, the supply/demand balance could keep Brent supported around the $90–$110 range; the analysis implies less downside from a ceasefire and asymmetric upside if disruptions re-emerge. The effect is primarily a supply/demand-driven support for prices, conditional on inventory and demand paths.

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BCA Research says the war premium in oil is largely priced out, forecasts Brent at $90–$110/bbl, and argues depleted inventories plus recovering demand create a price floor even if a durable ceasefire occurs.

BCA Research said oil’s month-to-date selloff has largely priced out much of the war premium.
BCA Research expects Brent crude to trade in a range of $90 to $110 per barrel.
BCA said depleted inventories and constrained physical/futures market pricing mean recovering demand and inventory rebuilding could absorb extra Gulf output, creating a floor for Brent even with a durable ceasefire.

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