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Analyst Takes A Cautious View On Lennar Ahead Of Q1 Earnings - Here's Why

1. Wedbush maintains a Neutral rating on LEN ahead of Q1 FY25 earnings. 2. Analyst estimates EPS of $1.70, lower than consensus of $1.75. 3. Expected orders to decrease 2% YoY to 17.8k homes this quarter. 4. Gross margin projected at 19.1%, down 270bps YoY, reflecting challenges. 5. Management strategy update expected post Millrose spin-off completion.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

Current EPS and revenue estimates show slight underperformance against consensus, a trend seen in previous quarters affecting investor sentiment. For instance, Lenar's past reactions to below-consensus earnings often result in stagnant or slight price adjustments.

How important is it?

The analyst's neutral outlook, alongside revisions in key financial metrics, suggests a cautious market sentiment, likely leading to investor indecision. Interest remains due to macro factors like mortgage rates affecting margins, making this analysis very pertinent.

Why Short Term?

The upcoming earnings announcement will provide immediate insights into financial health. Historical context suggests significant price movements occur right after earnings announcements, thus maintaining short-term relevance.

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