Betting markets like Kalshi see the government shutdown lasting 10 days or more. Investors might not like that.
1. Stock indexes are nearing record finishes despite ongoing government shutdown. 2. Historical data suggests shutdowns have minimal short-term economic impact. 3. Investors anticipate Federal Reserve rate cuts, boosting market confidence. 4. Average drawdown during shutdowns is low, indicating market resilience. 5. Long shutdowns have historically led to positive returns, driven by macro factors.