1. Fannie Mae forecasts 4.92 million single-family home sales by 2025. 2. Existing home sales expected to reach 4.24 million units. 3. Lower mortgage rate expectations revised to 6.1% for 2025. 4. Real GDP growth forecasted at 0.7% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026. 5. Forecasts subject to change; actual results may vary significantly.
Lower mortgage rates can boost home sales and FNMA's financial health, historically driving stocks up. Similar scenarios show FNMA benefitting from improved housing market conditions.
The article outlines critical forecasts directly affecting FNMA's core business and market environment.
Projected changes in home sales and mortgage rates will impact FNMA's performance over the next few years, suggesting sustained improvement.
PRNewswire -- Total single-family home sales are expected to close 2025 at 4.92 million units, with existing home sales accounting for 4.24 million of those units, according to the May 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook from the Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. Revisions to the home sales forecast were driven in part by the ESR Group's lower expectations for mortgage rates, which it now forecasts to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.1% and 5.8%, respectively. The latest outlook also projects real gross domestic product growing at 0.7% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026 on a Q4/Q4 basis.
Visit the Economic and Strategic Research site at fanniemae.com to read the full May 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook, including the Economic Developments Commentary, Economic Forecast, and Housing Forecast. To receive email updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, please click here.
Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR Group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views published by the ESR Group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.
Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Mark Palim, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumer and mortgage lenders to inform forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets.
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