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Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Home Prices Up 4.2% Year Over Year in May, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

1. National house price growth at lowest since 2012, stabilizing at 2.1%. 2. Higher mortgage rates reduced affordability, slowing demand in some markets. 3. 11 of 30 tracked markets show faster price appreciation than national average. 4. Southern and Western markets experienced flat to declining prices compared to pandemic gains. 5. May 2025 HPI report releases important housing market dynamics data.

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Why Bearish?

The deceleration of house prices and affordability concerns could negatively impact FAF's real estate services market. Historically, housing market downturns often lead to reduced transaction volumes, affecting revenue for companies like FAF.

How important is it?

The article discusses significant trends in the housing market impacting FAF's operations and strategy. Given its influence on home prices and mortgage rates, this information is crucial for understanding the immediate business landscape for FAF.

Why Short Term?

The immediate housing market conditions and the overall economic environment suggest a need for short-term adjustments. For instance, during previous housing slowdowns, companies like FAF experienced a drop in demand for their services until market recovery occurred.

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National House Price Appreciation at Slowest Rate Since 2012—Slower price growth this spring allows home buyers’ income growth to offset impact of still-elevated mortgage rates on affordability, says Chief Economist Mark Fleming— SANTA ANA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its May 2025 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here."Slower national price appreciation helps household incomes offset some of the impact of still-elevated mortgage rates on affordability, which is good news for potential buyers."Share May1 Home Price Index Chief Economist National HPI Analysis: “After decelerating for 16 straight months, national house prices stabilized in May at 2.1 percent," said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “Rising mortgage rates in April and May reduced affordability, tempering demand while the supply of homes for sale increased, dragging annual appreciation to the slowest pace since 2012. Slower national price appreciation helps household incomes offset some of the impact of still-elevated mortgage rates on affordability, which is good news for potential buyers.” Year-Over-Year Price-Tier Data for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar land Metro Area: May 2024 to May 2025 The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution. “While national house price growth is at a 13-year low, price appreciation exceeded the national pace in 11 of the 30 markets we track. The fastest appreciating markets were in the Northeast and Midwest—most notably Cambridge, Mass., Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, St. Louis, and New York,” said Fleming. “While house prices declined or were flat in many Southern and Western markets, the declines were small relative to equity gained in the pandemic boom. For example, house prices in Tampa, Fla., fell by 4 percent annually, but Tampa was one of the hottest pandemic-era growth markets, with prices increasing 70 percent from pre-pandemic to peak, so most Tampa homeowners have lost little equity compared to what was gained." May 2025 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights2 Additional May 2025 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here. Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics. Next Release The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of July 14, 2025. First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available. The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included. Disclaimer Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2025 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution. About First American Data & Analytics First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8.6 billion document images. Its major platforms and products include: DataTree®, FraudGuard®, RegsData®, First American TaxSource™ and ACI®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services industries with advanced decisioning solutions at www.FirstAmDNA.com. About First American First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the digital transformation of its industry. First American also provides data products to the title industry and other third parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing; home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management services; and other related products and services. With total revenue of $6.1 billion in 2024, the company offers its products and services directly and through its agents throughout the United States and abroad. In 2025, First American was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work® and Fortune Magazine for the tenth consecutive year. The company was named one of the 100 Best Workplaces for Innovators by Fast Company for the second consecutive year in 2024. More information about the company can be found at www.firstam.com. 1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available. 2 Note: Nassau-County-Suffolk County, NY is excluded from this month’s report due to data disruptions. Cincinnati is included in this month’s report.

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