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Joann, Macy's, other store closures part of a 274% spike in retail layoffs in 2025

1. Job cuts in 2025 increased 80% compared to 2024, totaling 696,000. 2. Retail sector job cuts reached 76,000, a 274% rise from previous year. 3. Major retailers like Macy’s and JCPenney are closing stores due to economic strains. 4. Federal funding cuts are a leading cause of rising layoffs in various sectors. 5. Craft retailer Joann is closing all stores following its second bankruptcy filing.

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Why Bearish?

The substantial job cuts and store closures indicate a weakening consumer economy, which could negatively impact consumer discretionary spending, including for M, especially if it operates in the retail sector. Historical trends show that high unemployment and layoffs typically correlate with reduced spending and lower revenues in retail.

How important is it?

The article underscores significant trends affecting the retail sector and overall economy, which are critical for M's performance, especially if M is a retailer. The likelihood of M experiencing negative impacts due to layoffs and economic pressures is high given current market conditions.

Why Short Term?

Job cuts and economic pessimism likely lead to immediate declines in consumer spending and investor sentiment, impacting M's stock in the short-term. Previous instances, like the retail downturn during 2008, saw immediate negative impacts on stock prices.

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