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National House Prices Grew Modestly in 2024, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

1. December 2024 HPI rose 0.1% MoM and 3.9% YoY. 2. Home prices 54.8% higher than pre-pandemic levels. 3. Higher inventory may pressure prices in oversupplied markets. 4. Markets with low inventory can experience price reacceleration. 5. Next HPI report expected week of February 17, 2025.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

Recent home price growth signifies market resilience, similar to trends seen in previous recovery periods post-recession.

How important is it?

Insights from the HPI report can influence investor sentiment and expectations for FAF's performance.

Why Short Term?

Current market phenomena are more likely to affect short-term price fluctuations rather than long-term trends.

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SANTA ANA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its December 2024 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here. December1 National House Price Index First American Data & Analytics’ National Non-Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) HPI Metric Change in HPI November-December 2024 (month over month) +0.1 percent December 2023-December 2024 (year over year) +3.9 percent Highlights House prices nationally are now 54.8 percent higher compared to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020). House price decline reported in last month’s HPI for October 2024 to November 2024 was revised down by 0.02 percentage points, from -0.01 percent to -0.03 percent. Chief Economist Analysis: “House price growth nationally started 2024 strong at a 7 percent annualized pace of growth but gradually slowed over the course of the year, ending in the high 3 percent year-over-year growth range. Higher mortgage rates in the latter half of the year, combined with higher inventory levels, triggered the cooling trend. If similar conditions persist through 2025, we should expect very moderate price appreciation,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “Areas with rapid supply growth that outstrips demand may face stronger moderation or even price declines, while areas with limited new supply may see steadier price growth or even price reacceleration. The structural housing shortage nationally will keep a floor on how low prices can go, but a ‘higher-for-longer’ rate environment and inventory growth could cause further price moderation.” December 2024 Local Market Price Tier Highlights The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution. “House price growth has varied considerably at the regional level over the last year, largely driven by differences in for-sale inventories. As more homes become available, the power dynamics can shift in favor of buyers, putting downward pressure on prices,” said Fleming. “All else equal, house price growth in markets with higher inventory of homes available for sale will weaken compared to those with low inventory relative to demand.” December 2024 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights2 Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier HPI CBSA Change in Starter Tier HPI Change in Mid-Tier HPI Change in Luxury Tier HPI Pittsburgh +9.5 percent +2.7 percent +4.0 percent Cambridge, Mass. +6.0 percent +7.6 percent +6.8 percent New York +5.3 percent +5.2 percent +3.7 percent St. Louis +5.1 percent +2.9 percent +4.2 percent Anaheim, Calif. +5.0 percent +7.0 percent +6.6 percent Additional December 2024 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI CBSA Change in HPI Anaheim, Calif. +6.1 percent Cambridge, Mass. +6.0 percent Pittsburgh +5.8 percent Las Vegas +4.4 percent Warren, Mich. +4.3 percent Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decease in HPI Tampa, Fla. -4.6 percent Oakland, Calif. -0.8 percent Austin, Texas -0.2 percent Los Angeles -0.1 percent San Antonio +0.5 percent HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here. Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics. Next Release The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of February 17, 2025. First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available. The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included. Disclaimer Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2025 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution. About First American Data & Analytics First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8 billion document images. Its major platforms and products include: DataTree®, FraudGuard®, RegsData®, First American TaxSource™ and ACI®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services industries with advanced decisioning solutions at www.FirstAmDNA.com. About First American First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the digital transformation of its industry. First American also provides data products to the title industry and other third parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing; home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management services; and other related products and services. With total revenue of $6.0 billion in 2023, the company offers its products and services directly and through its agents throughout the United States and abroad. In 2024, First American was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work® and Fortune Magazine for the ninth consecutive year, and named one of the 100 Best Workplaces for Innovators by Fast Company for the second consecutive year. More information about the company can be found at www.firstam.com. _______________ 1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available. 2 Note: Nassau-County-Suffolk County, NY is excluded from this month’s report due to data disruptions.

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