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Stagflation risks, looming tariffs fuel stock-market jitters in ugly quarter for S&P 500 - MarketWatch

1. Investors jittery over tariffs and stagflation concerns impacting VIX dynamics. 2. VIX rose 25% in the first quarter, indicating heightened market uncertainty. 3. Upcoming tariff announcements expected to create further market volatility. 4. Fed's projections show slower growth and sticky inflation, complicating decisions. 5. S&P 500 may face downside pressure from potentially onerous tariff decisions.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The possibility of increased tariffs and ongoing inflation heightens economic uncertainty, which typically raises VIX levels as investors seek protection against volatility. Historically, periods of rising inflation and geopolitical concerns correlate with increased volatility in financial markets.

How important is it?

The focus on tariff announcements and stagflation concerns presents a high probability of impacting market volatility as measured by VIX, particularly with looming decisions that could heavily affect trade confidence and economic growth.

Why Short Term?

The immediate impact stems from the upcoming tariff announcement, which will generate market reactions influencing VIX. Following significant tariff announcements, volatility often spikes alongside market uncertainty in the short term.

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