Historically, Good Friday week sees S&P 500 gain 0.9% on average since 1980. Traders often cover short positions ahead of holidays, creating upward pressure. Current tariff uncertainties may impede typical market trends this year. Monday following Good Friday has been historically negative for S&P 500. Upcoming holiday provides needed relief amid recent market volatility.
Given current tariff uncertainties, positive historical trends might not hold this year, resembling 2018's tariff-related volatility.
The immediate response to Good Friday's market closure around tariffs will likely dominate short-term movements.
Market dynamics around holidays can sway S&P 500, but ongoing volatility dampens certainty.