The Recession That Never Was Could Be Coming This Year - Barron's

1. Recession probability declines to 22% as per recent surveys. 2. Concerns arise over potential tariff policies affecting trade and layoffs. 3. AI sector growth may face pressure from cheaper alternatives like DeepSeek. 4. Persistent inflation issues indicated by reports of rising food and labor costs. 5. Federal deficit could impact economic conditions, affecting market confidence.