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Treasury bond yield set for largest weekly rise since 1981. This isn’t normal — and it worries Wall Street. - MarketWatch

1. 30-year Treasury yield jumped 57.4 basis points to 4.965%. 2. Tariff uncertainties contribute to rising long-term bond yields, not typical behavior. 3. Minneapolis Fed sees market stresses, but no major dislocations reported. 4. U.S. dollar weakened significantly against major currencies this week. 5. Stock markets are experiencing volatility despite recent increases.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Historically, rising yields indicate increasing costs of borrowing, which negatively impacts economic growth and the bond market. For instance, during the 1981 bond market turmoil, rising yields led to economic recession, indicating potential similar consequences now.

How important is it?

The article highlights significant movements in long-term Treasury yields which directly influence TMUBMUSD30Y and reflects broader economic sentiments, impacting investment decisions.

Why Short Term?

Immediate bond market reactions are influenced by tariff volatility; these trends could stabilize in the long run. Investors typically reassess yields quickly based on macroeconomic changes, as seen during similar tariff-induced fluctuations post-2001.

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