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What a 100 years of stock-market crashes tells us about the S&P 500’s stunning tariff comeback - MarketWatch

1. BNP Paribas explores historical equity crashes to analyze current market resilience. 2. The article highlights a recent 20% drop in the S&P 500, termed the 'Tariff Crash'. 3. Stocks rebounded despite a contraction in Q1 GDP and ongoing tariff uncertainties. 4. A strong jobs report may bolster investor sentiment amid fears of a recession. 5. BNP warns of potential retests of year-to-date lows due to earnings downgrades.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The rebound from significant lows, coupled with a strong jobs report, aligns with historical resilience of DJIA during non-recessionary crashes, prompting investor confidence. Historically, such rebounds can lead to uptrends in stock performance as seen in previous market recoveries.

How important is it?

The article outlines significant market changes and historical comparisons that affect DJIA trends. Importantly, it details a short-term recovery scenario along with cautious warnings of potential setbacks.

Why Short Term?

The current market activity is driven by immediate events like job reports and Treasury sell-offs, offering short-term potential. In the longer term, economic fundamentals may challenge this positive outlook, particularly if earnings begin to disappoint.

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