Dollar advances as markets price in December Fed rate hike
Reuters reports CME's FedWatch tool shows the market-implied probability of a 25 bp Fed hike in December rose to 87% from about 70% a month ago.
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CME
CME Group Inc. · NASDAQ · Financial Services
Price$317.97+0.78% · +$2.47
Market cap113.81BEquity value
P / E27.0Trailing ratio
Volume1.58MLatest session
Market data
TradingViewCME price chart
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Wall St set for feeble open after October's hot inflation print
Reuters reports traders priced by the CME FedWatch tool show an almost 99% chance of a December Fed rate hike after hotter-than-expected October inflation.
View signal analysisCME Q3 Earnings Seen Rising on 22% International ADV Growth
CME Group is set to report Q3 earnings before the open on Oct 21, with expected EPS of $2.98 on $1.71B in revenue. International average daily volume rose 22% to 9 million contracts in Q3, underscoring stronger activity outside the U.S. While price targets among analysts vary (roughly $270–$337), a beat or strong guidance could spark a near-term upside for CME stock, given the volume momentum and cash-flow implications of higher global activity.
View signal analysisCME Expands Crypto Futures With BCH and UNI Amid Rising Institutional Demand
CME Group announced new futures contracts for Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap, expanding its regulated crypto derivatives menu. The move follows growing institutional interest in altcoins, with CME's broader exposure potentially boosting volumes and fee revenue if adoption accelerates. Near term, BCH’s price spike and UNI’s breakout highlight active trading that could support CME’s top-line momentum, though stock reaction may remain muted until sustained flow materializes.
View signal analysisCME FX Open Interest Hits Fresh Record as Buy-Side Demand Surges
CME Group reported a fresh FX futures and options open-interest record of 4.41 million contracts on Sept 4, 2026, with large holders totaling 1,446 and asset managers notional exceeding $200 billion. The surge signals stronger buy-side demand for centralized clearing and risk management, potentially boosting near-term clearing, data, and fee revenue across CME Globex, BrokerTec, and CME Clearing.
View signal analysisCME Group Posts Q2 Beat Amid Strong Hedging Demand
CME Group topped Q2 profit estimates thanks to robust hedging demand, sending shares up 6.1%. The print underscores durable demand for risk-management products amid market volatility and could support a higher multiple if this trend continues into the next quarter. Investors will watch whether hedging revenue proves sticky and CME gains share of incremental derivative activity versus peers.
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