Hedge fund investor Michael Burry reaffirmed his bearish stance, including a short position in the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), even as the S&P 500 reached a new high. He cautioned that the rally could culminate in a 1987-style sell-off, driven in part by AI funding dynamics and volatility-driven momentum. His long-term view remains bearish on the sector, with Nvidia as the notable exception.
SOXX's 12.9% two-day drop follows an 82% YTD surge, testing momentum as RSI dips below 50. The 50-day moving average sits near term support, but the pullback raises questions whether this is a pause or the start of a broader pullback. Micron and other semis show divergent price targets, keeping the group volatile.
Options data show heavy put buying on SOXX, implying hedging against further semis weakness despite the rally. The piece ties elevated volatility, KOSPI drawdowns, and a sharp rebound since 2025 lows to a risk of faster consolidation or pullback. The August 570/450 put spread costs about $31, offering downside protection if semis stall.
AI-driven demand sustains a semiconductor upcycle, boosting SOXX via top holdings MU, AMD, and MRVL. While Eddie Ghabour warns of a summer correction and choppy trading, the longer-term demand backdrop remains intact as Q1 semiconductor revenue rose 25% to $298.5B and IDC projects the market surpassing $1 trillion by end-2026.
U.S. and Taiwan agree on a $250 billion semiconductor investment. Tariffs on Taiwanese goods will be reduced to 15%. The deal aims to boost U.S. semiconductor manufacturing capacity. This could significantly benefit TSM's U.S. operations and market presence. Taiwanese firms are encouraged to enhance global supply chain resiliency.
SOXX experienced a significant Power Inflow alert on November 26th. Trading interest shifted towards buying after the alert, driving prices higher. The stock rose from $287.32 to a post-alert high of $293.02. Power Inflow signals suggest bullish trends and actionable trading opportunities. Order flow analytics provide insight into market sentiment and price behavior.