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Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas argues SpaceX should be valued on growth rather than headline multiples, issuing a $300 target. He assigns substantial value to AI and neocloud segments while treating Starship Flight 15 as a near-term catalyst; third-quarter earnings could illuminate Cursor and Grok Bot economics. The stock recently moved around $158–$165, suggesting potential upside on catalysts.
View signal analysis →SpaceX executed a 13-hour sequence of three launches, including NASA Crew-13, Transporter-18, and NROL-97, signaling execution strength. The successes, plus Starship Flight 14 milestone and an upcoming Oct 5 SDA payload, reinforce a narrative of sustained cadence that can lift SPCX in the near term as investors price in continued mission activity.
View signal analysis →Ukraine urged the US to sanction Russian entities developing Rassvet as a domestic alternative to SpaceX's Starlink. If sanctions curb Rassvet's progress, Starlink may gain market clarity, potentially benefiting SPCX sentiment and valuation through reduced competition. The development creates a near-term policy-driven catalyst with visibility in the weeks ahead.
View signal analysis →UBS maintains a Buy stance on SPCX, expecting a Q3 beat and continued upside from AI and Starlink. The stock has cooled from peak levels, even as growth prospects remain intact, and short-interest has risen, signaling near-term volatility. If earnings surprise, SPCX could resume upside despite the near-term headwinds.
View signal analysis →TD Cowen launched coverage on SpaceX with a Buy and a $200 target, arguing AI compute leasing will become the main growth driver. The analyst models capacity expanding from 2.1 GW in 2026 to 6 GW by end-2027, with ~8.1B in AI leasing revenue in 4Q26 and a $41B ARR by year-end 2026. Alphabet and Anthropic are among early customers, signaling scalable demand for SpaceX’s AI infrastructure.
View signal analysis →New York City Council issued a subpoena to Elon Musk/SpaceXAI to testify on AI safety, signaling growing regulatory scrutiny. The probe targets whether AI risks warrant immediate action, while SpaceXAI faces deepfake lawsuits and a $60 billion Cursor acquisition. For SPCX investors, near-term volatility could rise as governance and liability concerns reprice risk in AI exposure.
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