ERCOT endorsed extensive Texas transmission upgrades, signaling a multi-year capex ramp led by Oncor. Sempra’s Oncor plan of $47.5B (2026–2030) plus a $10B incremental opportunity supports roughly 16 GW of new demand by 2034, with execution contingent on regulatory approvals. This could lift SRE’s rate-base growth and cash flow, though timing depends on regulatory decisions and interconnection rules.
Activist investor Voss Capital is pressing Sempra to spin off Oncor, a Texas-regulated electricity unit, to form a high-growth, Texas-focused utility. The proposal could unlock hidden value and alter Sempra's mix of regulated assets, potentially reducing California regulatory exposure and reallocating capital toward Texas growth opportunities.
Sempra's first-quarter earnings fell short of Wall Street expectations, driven by decreased natural gas sales and lower revenues from California utilities. While Texas operations showed strength, the overall mix indicates potential challenges in maintaining profitability across its utility segments, particularly in California, which may pressure future earnings forecasts.
Sempra has increased its five-year capital plan by 16%, reflecting confidence in growth driven by rising power demand. The company's fourth-quarter results surpassed Wall Street estimates, bolstered by strategic investments in grid modernization, which could enhance long-term infrastructure resilience.
Sempra focuses on Texas, driving medium-term earnings growth. Goldman Sachs upgraded SRE rating to Buy and raised target price to $106. Oncor benefits from data center growth, infrastructure, and population increases. Increased capital investments in Texas projected to boost EPS growth to 21%. Shares rose by 0.81% to $92.97 recently.