BNP Paribas trimmed Toast's rating to Neutral and lowered the target to $35, with the stock finishing around $33.59 previously. The downgrade signals cautious sentiment from a major desk, potentially capping upside despite a still-attractive near-term price vs target. Investors should watch for further price action and any additional details on Toast's growth trajectory.
Toast posted a Q2 beat with EPS of $0.26 and revenue of $1.908B, topping estimates. The stock fell 0.3% to $33.70 pre-market as analysts raised price targets to $39 (Piper Sandler) and $45 (Needham). The results support growth momentum and could drive near-term upside on continued execution.
Toast is set to join the S&P MidCap 400 effective July 1, replacing TopBuild, a move likely to attract index funds and boost near-term demand for TOST shares. While the news sparked a rally, the stock remains technically challenged, trading above the 20-day average but below the 50- and 200-day moving averages, needing a sustained move above 28 to gain conviction.
TOST achieved a significant milestone with a 26% growth in ARR, now exceeding $2 billion by December 31, 2025. Additionally, the company reported a healthy 22% year-over-year increase in Gross Payment Volume, reaching $51.4 billion, underscoring strong operational momentum.
J.P. Morgan upgraded Toast to Overweight with a $43 price target. PayPal and Fiserv were downgraded to Neutral due to growth concerns. Investors are encouraged to focus on companies with strong fundamentals for 2026. Toast is recognized for its strong brand affinity in the restaurant sector. Payment stocks are on track for their worst year since the Great Recession.