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Forbes
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2025 Job Cuts Have Already Surpassed All Of 2024—DOGE, AI And Tariffs Are Biggest Causes

1. U.S. job cuts in 2025 exceed total for all of 2024. 2. 806,000 jobs cut this year; 62,000 in July alone. 3. Government sector led layoffs, particularly due to AI and tariffs. 4. Retail job cuts surged 249% year-over-year, driven by tariffs. 5. Hiring plans show a slight increase, particularly in entertainment and leisure.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Increased job cuts may signal economic instability, impacting consumer spending and corporate earnings, key factors for S&P 500 performance. Similar job cuts in past recessions have led to lower stock prices.

How important is it?

The article indicates significant layoffs, which can reduce consumer spending and slow economic growth, likely leading to lower stock market performance, especially within the S&P 500's sectors impacted by job losses.

Why Short Term?

The immediate labor market data suggests economic uncertainty, likely leading to a rapid stock market reaction, especially in cyclical sectors like retail and technology.

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