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After two big days of selloffs, here’s what history suggests will happen next - MarketWatch

1. Equity investors face turmoil from Trump tariffs impacting global markets. 2. S&P futures fell 10.5%, marking the biggest drop since March 2020. 3. Historically, big two-day declines are often followed by mixed returns. 4. Markets may price in a 60%-70% chance of recession given current data. 5. Technical indicators suggest potential near-term support levels around 50% retracement.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The significant market decline and tariff concerns indicate bearish investor sentiment similar to past downturns. For instance, after the 2008 financial crisis, the initial sell-offs created negative momentum before potential rebounds, illustrating how current conditions may mirror those historical patterns.

How important is it?

The article discusses critical factors affecting market sentiment and projections post-tariff implementation. Given the potential for economic recession and its historical context, this situation is highly relevant to ES00's trading landscape.

Why Short Term?

The short-term horizon reflects immediate market reactions to tariffs and the likelihood of further declines. Investors historically react quickly to such news, highlighting that volatility may persist in the short term before stabilizing.

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