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American Eagle shares plunge 17% after it withdraws guidance, writes off $75 million in inventory

1. American Eagle is writing off $75 million in unsold merchandise. 2. First-quarter revenue expected around $1.1 billion, down 5% year-over-year. 3. Comparable sales anticipated to drop 3%, led by Aerie's 4% decline. 4. Operating loss forecasted at $85 million due to discounting and excess inventory. 5. Full-year guidance withdrawn amid uncertainty and disappointing first-quarter results.

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FAQ

Why Very Bearish?

American Eagle's significant inventory write-off and revised forecasts indicate poor performance, similar to historical downturns in retail. Such volatility typically leads to shareholder loss of confidence, as seen in past earnings misses for major retailers.

How important is it?

The substantial inventory write-down and negative sales outlook will likely lead to rapid investor reactions. The withdrawal of the full-year guidance poses serious questions about future performance.

Why Short Term?

Immediate sales declines and loss announcements tend to affect stock prices rapidly, as seen with AEO's 17% drop post-announcement. Recovery is contingent on improved sales performance.

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