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‘Big Money’ turns bullish on stocks. Will that lead the S&P 500 to a ‘melt up’? - MarketWatch

1. Institutional investors are bullish on S&P 500, embracing recent rally. 2. The index trades at 22.7x consensus 2025 earnings estimates of $264/share. 3. Historically, peaks in risk appetite indicate near-term tops for S&P 500. 4. S&P 500 is now 2.3% below its record high, having rebounded in May. 5. Trade uncertainties persist but the index remains positive year-to-date.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The bullish sentiment of institutional investors often leads to increased buying, historically resulting in upward trends for the S&P 500. For example, similar bullish phases in 2021 and 2023 led to significant gains.

How important is it?

The article indicates high activity and bullish sentiment from large investors, which typically precedes upward price movements. This level of institutional bullishness is a strong indicator of potential performance.

Why Short Term?

There is potential for immediate price action due to institutional buying. Large influxes often translate to upward momentum and are usually realized within weeks.

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