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Consumers Are More Worried About the Labor Market and Inflation: NY Fed

1. Unemployment rate expectation increased to 41.1%, heightening economic anxiety. 2. Median one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.4%, impacting consumer sentiments significantly. 3. Perceived job loss probability climbed to 14.9%, signaling labor market weakness. 4. Consumer spending growth projections declined, hinting at potential economic slowdown. 5. Despite concerns, higher-income consumers are still supporting spending growth.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Increased unemployment and inflation expectations typically pressure SPY performance. Historical data shows negative market reactions during similar sentiment shifts.

How important is it?

Consumer expectations can influence market behaviors, impacting SPY's price dynamics amid economic uncertainty.

Why Short Term?

Immediate consumer sentiment trends suggest a likely decline in SPY's price within months.

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