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Core Inflation Hit 4-Year Low Of 2.8% In March—But Tariffs Still Loom

1. Inflation declined 0.1% month-over-month, rising 2.4% year-over-year. 2. Core CPI inflation was 2.8% annually, below estimates of 3%. 3. Trump's tariffs may elevate consumer prices significantly. 4. Goldman forecasts core CPI will hit 3.7% by late 2025. 5. Federal Reserve may refrain from interest rate cuts due to tariffs.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The potential increase in prices due to tariffs could negatively affect consumer spending, impacting S&P 500 companies. Historically, rising inflation has often correlated with stock market downturns.

How important is it?

This article discusses inflation trends and tariffs, which are critical economic indicators affecting S&P 500. Market reactions to these indicators often dictate short-term trends in the index.

Why Short Term?

Inflation impacts consumer confidence quickly, influencing economic activity and stock market performance in the near term. Furthermore, immediate Fed responses to inflation data tend to be short-term market impacts.

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