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Despite tariffs reversal, bankers say the IPO market is still on ice

1. Markets jumped after Trump paused tariffs, S&P 500 gained 9% in one day. 2. IPO market remains closed as volatility increases; Klarna and StubHub delayed plans. 3. VIX index peak at 54 indicates high market volatility deterring IPOs. 4. Confidence remains low despite temporary gains; sustained stability needed for IPO activity. 5. Investors expect substantial discounts for any upcoming IPOs amid market turbulence.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

The initial gains from the tariff pause are overshadowed by ongoing market volatility. A parallel occurred in 2018 when fears of an economic downturn followed positive news.

How important is it?

The article discusses factors crucial to stock market stability and investor confidence, impacting S&P 500 indirectly. The relationship between tariffs and investor behavior is proven to have historically significant effects on market health.

Why Short Term?

This situation could resolve if volatility decreases soon; however, immediate IPO market stagnation is likely. Historical precedents show short recovery cycles post-tariff announcements, impacting investor sentiment.

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