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Fed holds key rate steady, still sees two more cuts this year

1. Fed kept rates between 4.25%-4.5%, signaling potential future cuts. 2. GDP growth projected at 1.4%, with inflation at 3%. 3. Labor market shows increasing layoffs and decreased consumer spending. 4. Trade tensions and geopolitical factors contribute to economic uncertainty. 5. Higher budget deficit pressures could influence Fed's future decisions.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

The Fed’s cautious stance amidst lower growth projections typically weighs on equities, especially in a high-rate environment. Historical contexts, like post-2008, show similar cautious Fed signals led to market pullbacks.

How important is it?

The ongoing economic conditions, highlighted by Fed decisions, wield significant influence over S&P 500 companies reliant on consumer spending and credit. Fed rate policies are crucial for financial market stability and investor confidence.

Why Short Term?

Upcoming Fed meetings and economic data releases will likely pressure market sentiment in the near term. Immediate reactions to interest rate policies historically influence market performance within a few weeks.

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