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New York Post
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Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose to 2.7% in May — hotter than anticipated

1. Inflation gauge rose above Fed's 2% target, reaching 2.3%. 2. Core PCE increased to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' forecasts. 3. Consumer spending fell 0.1%, worse than expected gains. 4. Personal income declined by 0.4%, missing projections. 5. Weak economic indicators may affect market sentiment negatively.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Higher than expected inflation and declining spending signals economic weakness, possibly leading to tighter monetary policy and lower S&P 500 valuations. Historically, significant inflation rises have preceded market corrections.

How important is it?

The data is crucial as it affects interest rate expectations, potentially impacting S&P 500 valuations directly. Economic health is a primary driver of equity market performance.

Why Short Term?

Immediate investor reaction may lead to volatility as fears of increased Fed actions affect market sentiment. Historical patterns show quick corrections following surprising inflation data.

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