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Global Bond Rout Deepens on Worry Over Government Debt—and Tariffs

1. Global bond markets are facing significant selloffs due to rising debt levels. 2. U.S. 30-year bond yield nears 5%, impacting existing bondholders. 3. Investor concerns rise over U.S. tariffs and government borrowing. 4. Solid consumer-spending data supports higher U.S. long yields. 5. Historical trends indicate September is often tough for long-term bonds.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

While rising yields suggest increased borrowing costs, strong consumer spending may drive stocks, including SPY, temporarily. Historical trends show that higher bond yields can lead to volatility in equity markets before stabilizing.

How important is it?

Concerns over government borrowing and rising yields directly influence market sentiment, which can lead to fluctuations in SPY, especially in a shifting economic landscape.

Why Short Term?

The immediate effects on SPY due to market volatility from rising yields will be felt in the short term before any longer-term financial adjustments can stabilize the market.

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