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Historically unreliable jobs data has traders lifting odds of December rate cut

1. ADP reports 32,000 job losses in September, below expectations. 2. Federal Reserve likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points soon. 3. Stock market reaction muted; S&P 500 closed near unchanged. 4. Rising bond market rallies and falling yields follow disappointing job data. 5. Labor market weakness poses risks despite strong economic growth.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The anticipated Fed rate cuts usually support equities, including the S&P 500. Historical examples show that rate cuts often precede stock market rallies.

How important is it?

The job report influences Fed policy, directly impacting market sentiment and investor behavior. Timely employment data remains a key market driver, particularly affecting sectors represented in the S&P 500.

Why Short Term?

Immediate expectations of Fed cuts can lead to swift reactions in the market. Similar scenarios in the past led to quick price movements in broader markets.

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