Hopes dim in prediction markets as traders bet government shutdown will drag on for weeks
1. Predictions show shutdown lasting over two weeks, affecting investor confidence. 2. 64% chance of shutdown exceeding 21 days, according to Kalshi traders. 3. Past shutdowns led to quick market rebounds, but risks exist this time. 4. Trump blames Democrats for shutdown-related layoffs that could impact labor. 5. Furloughed workers usually return, yet uncertainty may affect S&P 500 indirectly.