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Inflation gauge favored by Fed showed price growth picked up in December

1. December PCE index rose 0.3% MoM and 2.6% YoY, meeting forecasts. 2. Core PCE, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% MoM and 2.8% YoY. 3. Federal Reserve aims to lower inflation towards a 2% target. 4. Wages increased by 0.4% in December, a slight deceleration. 5. Personal savings rate fell to 3.8%, hinting at consumer spending pressures.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Persistently high inflation may lead to further Fed interest rate hikes, negatively impacting markets. Similar scenarios in the past have shown that higher inflation leads to tighter monetary policy.

How important is it?

Inflation data significantly influences market expectations for Fed policy, affecting stock valuations. This is critical for investor sentiment and market direction.

Why Short Term?

The immediate market reactions will be felt as investors adjust to potential Fed rate changes. Historical responses to inflation data often result in volatility.

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