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Investors were blindsided by hot July PPI inflation reading, but stocks mostly shrugged it off — or did they?

1. Falling bond yields sparked a market rotation towards small caps and home builders. 2. Producer-price index increased by 0.9%, the fastest in three years. 3. Small caps and home builders faced declines amidst high inflation expectations. 4. Megacap stocks like Amazon supported major indexes despite overall market weakness. 5. Investors unsure how inflation will impact the market going forward.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

Mixed market reactions suggest investors are uncertain about future inflation impacts. Historical data shows that short-term inflation spikes often lead to market volatility, but strong earnings from megacaps like Amazon can stabilize indices.

How important is it?

Market resistance amid inflation concerns is significant, impacting SPY's performance directly. Additionally, renewed focus on Fed rate decisions could lead to further market adjustments.

Why Short Term?

Short-term fluctuations in reaction to inflation reports are expected. Market recalibrations may occur if inflation persists beyond immediate reports.

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