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New Council of Economic Advisers report finds tariffs not causing inflation

1. Imported goods prices fell faster than overall goods this year. 2. This decline could lead to reduced inflationary pressures for the S&P 500.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

Falling import prices can reduce inflation, benefiting consumer spending and corporate profits. Historically, lower import costs have supported stock market rallies, particularly in the consumer sector.

How important is it?

Reducing inflation through lower import prices can stimulate economic growth, directly influencing S&P 500 performance. Market participants often react quickly to changes in inflation expectations.

Why Short Term?

Immediate effects on markets may be seen as inflation concerns ease, improving investor sentiment. Similar trends in past periods of declining import prices led to positive market responses within months.

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