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Opinion: Does Donald Trump want a recession? His ‘reign of tariffs’ could deliver one. - MarketWatch

1. Trump's tariff policies may push the U.S. economy into recession. 2. Stagflation odds increased to 45%, affecting S&P 500 projections. 3. S&P 500 target lowered to 6,100 from 6,400 for year-end. 4. Tariffs could lead to bear market conditions for stocks. 5. Consumer spending may decline, impacting overall economic growth.

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FAQ

Why Bearish?

Historical examples show that tariffs can suppress economic growth and corporate profits. Previous tariff hikes led to similar bearish sentiments, resulting in market corrections.

How important is it?

The article addresses significant concerns regarding policy-driven economic shifts, directly influencing S&P 500 valuations and market sentiment.

Why Short Term?

Immediate effects from tariffs and inflation are expected within the next few months, impacting corporate profitability and investor sentiment.

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