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Opinion: The January seasonal trade has begun. Here’s how you can master it. - MarketWatch

1. January trade typically yields gains, with SPX advancing 1.1%. Historical success underlines seasonal patterns. 2. Market breadth weakens, risking sell signals in upcoming days. High volatility indicated by put-call ratios. 3. New highs on NYSE remain bullish; new lows needed to reverse signals. Historical new high trends matter. 4. Volatility measures suggest a bullish outlook, with pattern signals supporting equities. Forward indicators show mixed strength. 5. Large caps report earnings; speculation on option straddles seems unfounded. Earnings move predictions clash with historical trends.

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FAQ

Why Bullish?

The historical January trading pattern suggests a positive season for SPX. Positive trajectories in volatility indicators reinforce this outlook.

How important is it?

The article discusses trends impacting the S&P 500 directly. Insights into trading signals and patterns enhance relevance.

Why Short Term?

This article emphasizes near-term seasonal trades that typically act quickly. Historical examples reveal immediate effects lasting several days.

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