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Opinion: The stock market’s momentum swings both ways. Don’t get hit. - MarketWatch

1. S&P 500 has strong price momentum signaling potential higher prices ahead. 2. Fear & Greed Index indicates a shift from fear to greed. 3. Market may need consolidation or pullback due to overbought conditions. 4. VIX decline suggests sustained price momentum but warns of overheating. 5. Current rally is reminiscent of previous market stalls, indicating caution.

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FAQ

Why Neutral?

While indicators suggest bullish momentum, potential for consolidation tempers excitement. Historical examples show that markets often pause after rapid advancements, such as 1982.

How important is it?

Current analysis reflects a balanced view; strong short-term momentum but warns of potential drawdowns. This cautious posture is likely to influence investor sentiment significantly.

Why Short Term?

Recent momentum could be undone by immediate pullbacks, as indicated by historical trends. Investors often react swiftly to market overheating signs leading to temporary dips.

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